Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 9 points for Georginio and 8 for Simms, so Georginio is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

Georginio vs Simms

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours Georginio by 1 projected points.

Georginio

BRIGHTON · FWD · £5.3

projected points / 5 GW

Sell64%

SUN (A)CRY (H)LIV (A)MCI (A)BRE (H)

Simms

COVENTRY CITY · FWD · £4.9

projected points / 5 GW

Hold57%

NEW (H)TOT (A)FUL (H)SUN (H)EVE (A)

Stat by stat

£5.3Price£4.9

10Total points10

1.7Form2.3

3.3Points / game2.5

0.5%Owned0.6%

106Minutes116

0Goals1

2Assists0

0.17xG0.38

0.60xA0.01

5.1ICT6.8

3.4Avg FDR (5)2.8

9Projected pts8

The verdict

Georginio comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (9 vs 8), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 3.4) and a stronger underlying profile.

Sell — the projection, fixtures or minutes do not support keeping Georginio.

Hold — Simms is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.

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