Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 15 points for Barnes and 3 for Janelt, so Barnes is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

Barnes vs Janelt

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours Barnes by 12 projected points.

Barnes

NEWCASTLE · MID · £6.1

projected points / 5 GW

Hold64%

CRY (A)EVE (H)FUL (A)ARS (H)BHA (A)

Janelt

BRENTFORD · MID · £5.0

projected points / 5 GW

Sell94%

HUL (A)NFO (H)BHA (A)EVE (H)MUN (A)

Stat by stat

£6.1Price£5.0

32Total points30

2.0Form1.0

4.6Points / game4.3

7.8%Owned2.2%

630Minutes630

1Goals2

3Assists0

1.24xG0.53

0.87xA0.61

45.3ICT34.5

3.4Avg FDR (5)3.2

15Projected pts3

The verdict

Barnes comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (15 vs 3), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 3.4) and better current form.

Hold — Barnes is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.

Sell — the projection, fixtures or minutes do not support keeping Janelt.

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