NEWBarnes
Harvey Barnes
Price
£6.1
+0.1 this GW
Total pts
28
5.6 per game
Form
7.7
last 30 days
Owned
5.7%
xG / xA
0.62 / 0.48
season totals
ICT
28.2
450 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW6
COV (A)
4 xP
GW7
AVL (H)
4 xP
GW8
CRY (A)
4 xP
GW9
EVE (H)
4 xP
GW10
FUL (A)
4 xP
Barnes starts almost every week and faces a average run: COV (A), AVL (H), CRY (A), EVE (H), FUL (A).
Last 5 matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | Bns | xG | xA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LIV (H) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.02 | 2 |
| 2 | TOT (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 3 |
| 3 | BOU (H) | 90 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.11 | 0.03 | 12 |
| 4 | LEE (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.29 | 0.31 | 2 |
| 5 | HUL (H) | 90 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 9 |
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from Barnes's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.14 expected goals and 0.13 expected assists per 90, 90 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 20%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 2.8 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: he is fully fit, so the raw projection is scaled by 100%.
Buy92%
Confidence92%
Buy — Barnes is one of the better MID options for the next 5 gameweeks.
- Strong value: 19 projected points over the next 5 gameweeks at £6.1.
- Favourable fixtures ahead (average difficulty 2.8).
- In form: 7.7 per game recently against a season average of 5.6.
- Nailed on: averaging 90 minutes per appearance.
Projected points
Next 1 GW4
Next 3 GWs11
Next 5 GWs19
Captain rating48/100
Captain rating combines the GW5 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
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