NEWThiaw
Malick Thiaw
Price
£5.0
0.0 this GW
Total pts
14
2.8 per game
Form
1.7
last 30 days
Owned
2.2%
xG / xA
0.00 / 0.08
season totals
ICT
12.7
450 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW6
COV (A)
3 xP
GW7
AVL (H)
3 xP
GW8
CRY (A)
3 xP
GW9
EVE (H)
3 xP
GW10
FUL (A)
3 xP
Thiaw starts almost every week and faces a average run: COV (A), AVL (H), CRY (A), EVE (H), FUL (A).
Last 5 matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | Bns | xG | xA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LIV (H) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3 |
| 2 | TOT (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 6 |
| 3 | BOU (H) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | -1 |
| 4 | LEE (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2 |
| 5 | HUL (H) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 4 |
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from Thiaw's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.03 expected goals and 0.05 expected assists per 90, 90 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 20%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 2.8 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: he is fully fit, so the raw projection is scaled by 100%.
Hold64%
Confidence64%
Hold — Thiaw is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.
- Strong value: 14 projected points over the next 5 gameweeks at £5.0.
- Favourable fixtures ahead (average difficulty 2.8).
- Cold streak: 1.7 points per game recently.
- Nailed on: averaging 90 minutes per appearance.
Projected points
Next 1 GW3
Next 3 GWs8
Next 5 GWs14
Captain rating27/100
Captain rating combines the GW5 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
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