Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 20 points for Thiago and 36 for Haaland, so Haaland is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

Thiago vs Haaland

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours Haaland by 17 projected points.

Thiago

BRENTFORD · FWD · £7.8

projected points / 5 GW

Hold64%

AVL (A)LIV (H)HUL (A)NFO (H)BHA (A)

Haaland

MAN CITY · FWD · £15.6

projected points / 5 GW

Buy71%

LIV (A)IPS (H)AVL (A)BHA (H)NFO (A)

Stat by stat

£7.8Price£15.6

10Total points39

2.7Form8.0

2.0Points / game7.8

9.1%Owned73.8%

442Minutes450

1Goals5

0Assists0

3.13xG4.42

0.16xA0.53

23.6ICT46.5

3.2Avg FDR (5)3.0

20Projected pts36

The verdict

Haaland comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (36 vs 20), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 3.0) and better current form.

Hold — Thiago is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.

Buy — Haaland is one of the better FWD options for the next 5 gameweeks.

More FWD comparisons

Thiago vs João Pedro Thiago vs Isak Thiago vs Kostoulas Thiago vs Emersonn Thiago vs Brobbey Thiago vs Calvert-Lewin