Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 3 points for Mateta and 20 for Isak, so Isak is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

Mateta vs Isak

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours Isak by 18 projected points.

Mateta

CRYSTAL PALACE · FWD · £6.3

projected points / 5 GW

Sell94%

NFO (H)BHA (A)NEW (H)TOT (A)LIV (H)

Isak

LIVERPOOL · FWD · £9.1

projected points / 5 GW

Hold57%

MCI (H)BRE (A)BHA (H)ARS (H)CRY (A)

Stat by stat

£6.3Price£9.1

2Total points33

0.0Form7.7

2.0Points / game6.6

1.3%Owned22.4%

62Minutes413

0Goals4

0Assists0

0.70xG3.54

0.02xA0.08

2.5ICT40.0

3.4Avg FDR (5)3.4

3Projected pts20

The verdict

Isak comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (20 vs 3), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 3.4) and better current form.

Sell — the projection, fixtures or minutes do not support keeping Mateta.

Hold — Isak is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.

More FWD comparisons

Mateta vs Haaland Mateta vs João Pedro Mateta vs Kostoulas Mateta vs Emersonn Mateta vs Brobbey Mateta vs Calvert-Lewin