Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 20 points for Havertz and 23 for Mateta, so Mateta is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

Havertz vs Mateta

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours Mateta by 3 projected points.

Havertz

Arsenal · FWD · £7.5

projected points / 5 GW

Buy78%

COV (H)AVL (A)CHE (H)SUN (A)BHA (A)

Mateta

Crystal Palace · FWD · £6.5

projected points / 5 GW

Buy71%

EVE (A)MCI (H)FUL (A)IPS (H)LEE (A)

Stat by stat

£7.5Price£6.5

6Total points2

6.0Form2.0

6.0Points / game2.0

5.8%Owned5.7%

90Minutes62

1Goals0

0Assists0

0.26xG0.77

0.03xA0.02

0.0ICT0.0

3.2Avg FDR (5)3.0

20Projected pts23

The verdict

Mateta comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (23 vs 20), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 3.0) and a stronger underlying profile.

Buy — Havertz is one of the better FWD options for the next 5 gameweeks.

Buy — Mateta is one of the better FWD options for the next 5 gameweeks.

More FWD comparisons

Havertz vs Emersonn Havertz vs Barry Havertz vs McBurnie Havertz vs Thomas-Asante Havertz vs Simms Havertz vs Igor Jesus