Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 15 points for Havertz and 6 for Abraham, so Havertz is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

Havertz vs Abraham

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours Havertz by 10 projected points.

Havertz

ARSENAL · FWD · £7.6

projected points / 5 GW

Hold50%

LEE (H)NFO (A)EVE (H)LIV (A)HUL (H)

Abraham

ASTON VILLA · FWD · £5.5

projected points / 5 GW

Sell78%

BRE (H)NEW (A)MCI (H)FUL (H)MUN (A)

Stat by stat

£7.6Price£5.5

19Total points4

3.7Form1.0

3.8Points / game1.0

8.1%Owned0.2%

437Minutes71

2Goals0

0Assists0

1.67xG0.00

0.37xA0.00

32.6ICT1.1

3.0Avg FDR (5)3.2

15Projected pts6

The verdict

Havertz comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (15 vs 6), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 3.0) and better current form.

Hold — Havertz is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.

Sell — the projection, fixtures or minutes do not support keeping Abraham.

More FWD comparisons

Havertz vs Haaland Havertz vs João Pedro Havertz vs Isak Havertz vs Kostoulas Havertz vs Emersonn Havertz vs Brobbey