Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 20 points for Rogers and 17 for Ayari, so Rogers is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

Rogers vs Ayari

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours Rogers by 3 projected points.

Rogers

CHELSEA · MID · £7.9

projected points / 5 GW

Buy71%

EVE (A)TOT (H)MUN (H)SUN (A)LEE (H)

Ayari

BRIGHTON · MID · £5.4

projected points / 5 GW

Buy85%

CRY (H)LIV (A)MCI (A)BRE (H)HUL (A)

Stat by stat

£7.9Price£5.4

40Total points31

4.3Form6.3

5.7Points / game5.2

47.4%Owned0.4%

610Minutes500

4Goals2

1Assists1

2.07xG1.10

1.36xA0.20

51.7ICT17.2

3.0Avg FDR (5)3.2

20Projected pts17

The verdict

Rogers comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (20 vs 17), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 3.0) and a stronger underlying profile.

Buy — Rogers is one of the better MID options for the next 5 gameweeks.

Buy — Ayari is one of the better MID options for the next 5 gameweeks.

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