Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 17 points for N.Williams and 14 for Davis, so N.Williams is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

N.Williams vs Davis

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours N.Williams by 3 projected points.

N.Williams

NOTT'M FOREST · DEF · £5.0

projected points / 5 GW

Buy78%

IPS (A)BRE (A)MCI (H)BOU (A)CHE (H)

Davis

IPSWICH TOWN · DEF · £4.0

projected points / 5 GW

Hold64%

NFO (H)HUL (A)BOU (H)TOT (A)AVL (H)

Stat by stat

£5.0Price£4.0

31Total points28

4.0Form1.0

3.9Points / game3.5

6.2%Owned7.4%

713Minutes720

1Goals2

1Assists2

0.96xG1.64

1.09xA0.63

33.2ICT39.5

3.2Avg FDR (5)2.8

17Projected pts14

The verdict

N.Williams comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (17 vs 14), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 3.2) and better current form.

Buy — N.Williams is one of the better DEF options for the next 5 gameweeks.

Hold — Davis is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.

More DEF comparisons

N.Williams vs De Cuyper N.Williams vs Vuskovic N.Williams vs Tarkowski N.Williams vs Bogle N.Williams vs Calafiori N.Williams vs Gvardiol