Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 13 points for McBurnie and 6 for Nmecha, so McBurnie is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

McBurnie vs Nmecha

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours McBurnie by 8 projected points.

McBurnie

HULL CITY · FWD · £5.5

projected points / 5 GW

Hold50%

FUL (A)BRE (H)IPS (H)ARS (A)BHA (H)

Nmecha

LEEDS · FWD · £5.4

projected points / 5 GW

Sell78%

MUN (H)SUN (A)BOU (A)TOT (H)CHE (A)

Stat by stat

£5.5Price£5.4

14Total points8

1.0Form1.0

2.3Points / game1.6

1.8%Owned0.4%

531Minutes75

0Goals0

2Assists1

1.23xG0.27

0.22xA0.15

25.3ICT5.7

3.2Avg FDR (5)3.2

13Projected pts6

The verdict

McBurnie comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (13 vs 6), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 3.2) and better current form.

Hold — McBurnie is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.

Sell — the projection, fixtures or minutes do not support keeping Nmecha.

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