Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 33 points for Calafiori and 36 for Ajayi, so Ajayi is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

Calafiori vs Ajayi

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours Ajayi by 4 projected points.

Calafiori

Arsenal · DEF · £5.5

projected points / 5 GW

Buy78%

COV (H)AVL (A)CHE (H)SUN (A)BHA (A)

Ajayi

Hull City · DEF · £4.0

projected points / 5 GW

Hold57%

MUN (H)COV (A)AVL (H)CHE (A)NEW (A)

Stat by stat

£5.5Price£4.0

9Total points14

9.0Form14.0

9.0Points / game14.0

40.2%Owned1.3%

80Minutes63

0Goals1

1Assists0

0.04xG0.52

0.09xA0.00

0.0ICT0.0

3.2Avg FDR (5)3.2

33Projected pts36

The verdict

Ajayi comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (36 vs 33), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 3.2) and a stronger underlying profile.

Buy — Calafiori is one of the better DEF options for the next 5 gameweeks.

Hold — Ajayi is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.

More DEF comparisons

Calafiori vs De Cuyper Calafiori vs Mendy Calafiori vs Kayode Calafiori vs White Calafiori vs Bijol Calafiori vs Justin