Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 36 points for Ajayi and 5 for Smith, so Ajayi is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

Ajayi vs Smith

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours Ajayi by 32 projected points.

Ajayi

Hull City · DEF · £4.0

projected points / 5 GW

Hold57%

MUN (H)COV (A)AVL (H)CHE (A)NEW (A)

Smith

Bournemouth · DEF · £4.5

projected points / 5 GW

Sell71%

MCI (A)EVE (H)NEW (A)BRE (H)LIV (H)

Stat by stat

£4.0Price£4.5

14Total points1

14.0Form1.0

14.0Points / game1.0

1.2%Owned0.1%

63Minutes90

1Goals0

0Assists0

0.52xG0.00

0.00xA0.00

0.0ICT0.0

3.2Avg FDR (5)3.6

36Projected pts5

The verdict

Ajayi comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (36 vs 5), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 3.2) and better current form.

Hold — Ajayi is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.

Sell — the projection, fixtures or minutes do not support keeping Smith.

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