Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 17 points for Wissa and 8 for Welbeck, so Wissa is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

Wissa vs Welbeck

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours Wissa by 9 projected points.

Wissa

NEWCASTLE · FWD · £6.2

projected points / 5 GW

Hold64%

COV (A)AVL (H)CRY (A)EVE (H)FUL (A)

Welbeck

CHELSEA · FWD · £5.9

projected points / 5 GW

Sell64%

BOU (H)EVE (A)TOT (H)MUN (H)SUN (A)

Stat by stat

£6.2Price£5.9

15Total points4

1.0Form1.3

3.0Points / game1.3

18.7%Owned1.0%

441Minutes85

1Goals0

1Assists0

2.35xG0.00

0.06xA0.14

23.3ICT6.1

2.8Avg FDR (5)3.0

17Projected pts8

The verdict

Wissa comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (17 vs 8), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 2.8) and a stronger underlying profile.

Hold — Wissa is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.

Sell — the projection, fixtures or minutes do not support keeping Welbeck.

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