SUNBrobbey
Brian Brobbey
Latest news: Hamstring injury - 75% chance of playing
Price
£5.7
-0.1 this GW
Total pts
24
4.8 per game
Form
6.7
last 30 days
Owned
6.9%
xG / xA
2.94 / 0.11
season totals
ICT
31.7
399 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW6
BHA (H)
3 xP
GW7
BOU (A)
3 xP
GW8
LEE (H)
3 xP
GW9
COV (A)
3 xP
GW10
CHE (H)
3 xP
Brobbey starts almost every week and faces a average run: BHA (H), BOU (A), LEE (H), COV (A), CHE (H).
Last 5 matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | Bns | xG | xA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IPS (A) | 66 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 2 |
| 2 | FUL (H) | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 2 |
| 3 | BRE (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.26 | 0.06 | 2 |
| 4 | ARS (H) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1 |
| 5 | MCI (A) | 90 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2.35 | 0.04 | 17 |
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from Brobbey's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.47 expected goals and 0.07 expected assists per 90, 80 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 20%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.0 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: status is "d", so the raw projection is scaled by 75%.
Hold64%
Confidence64%
Hold — Brobbey is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.
- Strong value: 16 projected points over the next 5 gameweeks at £5.7.
- In form: 6.7 per game recently against a season average of 4.8.
- Injury doubt: 75% chance of playing.
Projected points
Next 1 GW3
Next 3 GWs10
Next 5 GWs16
Captain rating30/100
Captain rating combines the GW5 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
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