SUNHume

Trai Hume

SUNDERLAND
DEF
£4.3· 2.8% owned
Price
£4.3
-0.1 this GW
Total pts
10
2.5 per game
Form
0.7
last 30 days
Owned
2.8%
xG / xA
0.14 / 0.29
season totals
ICT
11.5
206 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW6
BHA (H)
2 xP
GW7
BOU (A)
2 xP
GW8
LEE (H)
2 xP
GW9
COV (A)
2 xP
GW10
CHE (H)
2 xP

Hume is a rotation risk and faces a average run: BHA (H), BOU (A), LEE (H), COV (A), CHE (H).

Last 5 matches
GWOppMinGABnsxGxAPts
1IPS (A)790000.040.272
2FUL (H)900000.000.016
3BRE (A)260000.000.001
4ARS (H)00000.000.000
5MCI (A)110000.100.011
Why this projection

The model works bottom-up from Hume's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.06 expected goals and 0.09 expected assists per 90, 52 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 25%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.0 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.

Availability is factored in directly: he is fully fit, so the raw projection is scaled by 100%.

Hold57%
Confidence57%

Hold — Hume is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.

  • Fair value at £4.3 for the projected return.
  • Cold streak: 0.7 points per game recently.
Projected points
Next 1 GW2
Next 3 GWs6
Next 5 GWs9
Captain rating10/100

Captain rating combines the GW5 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.