FULLarsson
Hugo Larsson
Latest news: Groin injury - 25% chance of playing
Price
£5.0
0.0 this GW
Total pts
4
1.0 per game
Form
0.7
last 30 days
Owned
0.0%
xG / xA
0.19 / 0.23
season totals
ICT
2.4
40 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW7
HUL (H)
1 xP
GW8
COV (A)
1 xP
GW9
AVL (A)
1 xP
GW10
NEW (H)
1 xP
GW11
MCI (A)
1 xP
Larsson is a rotation risk and faces a average run: HUL (H), COV (A), AVL (A), NEW (H), MCI (A).
Last 5 matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | Bns | xG | xA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | CRY (H) | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | 0.22 | 1 |
| 4 | LIV (A) | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1 |
| 5 | MUN (H) | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1 |
| 6 | IPS (A) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 1 |
| 7 | HUL (H) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 |
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from Larsson's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.16 expected goals and 0.17 expected assists per 90, 10 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 0%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.0 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: status is "d", so the raw projection is scaled by 25%.
Sell92%
Confidence92%
Sell — the projection, fixtures or minutes do not support keeping Larsson.
- Weak points-per-million: the projection does not justify £5.0.
- Cold streak: 0.7 points per game recently.
- Injury doubt: 25% chance of playing.
Projected points
Next 1 GW1
Next 3 GWs2
Next 5 GWs3
Captain rating0/100
Captain rating combines the GW7 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
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