AVLMbaye
Ibrahim Mbaye
Price
£6.0
0.0 this GW
Total pts
3
1.0 per game
Form
0.7
last 30 days
Owned
0.1%
xG / xA
0.06 / 0.20
season totals
ICT
8.4
59 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW7
NEW (A)
1 xP
GW8
MCI (H)
1 xP
GW9
FUL (H)
2 xP
GW10
MUN (A)
1 xP
GW11
SUN (H)
1 xP
Mbaye is a rotation risk and faces a average run: NEW (A), MCI (H), FUL (H), MUN (A), SUN (H).
Last 5 matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | Bns | xG | xA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | HUL (A) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 |
| 4 | NFO (H) | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.13 | 1 |
| 5 | TOT (A) | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1 |
| 6 | BRE (H) | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.07 | 1 |
| 7 | NEW (A) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 |
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from Mbaye's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.16 expected goals and 0.18 expected assists per 90, 20 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 0%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.2 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: he is fully fit, so the raw projection is scaled by 100%.
Sell78%
Confidence78%
Sell — the projection, fixtures or minutes do not support keeping Mbaye.
- Weak points-per-million: the projection does not justify £6.0.
- Cold streak: 0.7 points per game recently.
Projected points
Next 1 GW1
Next 3 GWs4
Next 5 GWs6
Captain rating4/100
Captain rating combines the GW7 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
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