NFOIgor Jesus

Igor Jesus Maciel da Cruz

NOTT'M FOREST
FWD
£5.8· 2.6% owned
Price
£5.8
0.0 this GW
Total pts
12
2.4 per game
Form
3.0
last 30 days
Owned
2.6%
xG / xA
1.25 / 0.08
season totals
ICT
19.6
257 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW6
CRY (A)
2 xP
GW7
ARS (H)
2 xP
GW8
IPS (A)
3 xP
GW9
BRE (A)
2 xP
GW10
MCI (H)
2 xP

Igor Jesus is a rotation risk and faces a average run: CRY (A), ARS (H), IPS (A), BRE (A), MCI (H).

Last 5 matches
GWOppMinGABnsxGxAPts
1LEE (H)900000.220.022
2LIV (A)900000.740.041
3TOT (H)310000.000.001
4AVL (A)151020.130.017
5COV (H)310000.160.011
Why this projection

The model works bottom-up from Igor Jesus's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.36 expected goals and 0.08 expected assists per 90, 51 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 0%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.2 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.

Availability is factored in directly: he is fully fit, so the raw projection is scaled by 100%.

Hold57%
Confidence57%

Hold — Igor Jesus is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.

  • Fair value at £5.8 for the projected return.
Projected points
Next 1 GW2
Next 3 GWs7
Next 5 GWs11
Captain rating13/100

Captain rating combines the GW5 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.