AVLBogarde

Lamare Bogarde

ASTON VILLA
MID
£4.9· 0.1% owned
Price
£4.9
-0.1 this GW
Total pts
1
1.0 per game
Form
0.0
last 30 days
Owned
0.1%
xG / xA
0.00 / 0.00
season totals
ICT
0.3
16 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW6
BRE (H)
1 xP
GW7
NEW (A)
1 xP
GW8
MCI (H)
1 xP
GW9
FUL (H)
1 xP
GW10
MUN (A)
1 xP

Bogarde is a rotation risk and faces a average run: BRE (H), NEW (A), MCI (H), FUL (H), MUN (A).

Last 5 matches
GWOppMinGABnsxGxAPts
1BHA (A)160000.000.001
2ARS (H)00000.000.000
3HUL (A)00000.000.000
4NFO (H)00000.000.000
5TOT (A)00000.000.000
Why this projection

The model works bottom-up from Bogarde's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.13 expected goals and 0.13 expected assists per 90, 16 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 0%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.2 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.

Availability is factored in directly: he is fully fit, so the raw projection is scaled by 100%.

Sell78%
Confidence78%

Sell — the projection, fixtures or minutes do not support keeping Bogarde.

  • Weak points-per-million: the projection does not justify £4.9.
  • Cold streak: 0.0 points per game recently.
Projected points
Next 1 GW1
Next 3 GWs3
Next 5 GWs6
Captain rating3/100

Captain rating combines the GW5 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.