AVLBailey
Leon Bailey
Price
£5.5
0.0 this GW
Total pts
21
1.6 per game
Form
0.0
last 30 days
Owned
0.1%
xG / xA
0.50 / 1.46
season totals
ICT
30.1
450 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW1
BHA (A)
1 xP
GW2
ARS (H)
1 xP
GW3
HUL (A)
1 xP
GW4
NFO (H)
1 xP
GW5
TOT (A)
1 xP
Bailey is a rotation risk and faces a average run: BHA (A), ARS (H), HUL (A), NFO (H), TOT (A).
Last 5 matches
No match history yet this season.
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from Bailey's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.10 expected goals and 0.29 expected assists per 90, 35 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 0%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.0 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: he is fully fit, so the raw projection is scaled by 100%.
Sell78%
Confidence78%
Sell — the projection, fixtures or minutes do not support keeping Bailey.
- Weak points-per-million: the projection does not justify £5.5.
- Cold streak: 0.0 points per game recently.
Projected points
Next 1 GW1
Next 3 GWs4
Next 5 GWs7
Captain rating7/100
Captain rating combines the GW1 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
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