COVGrimes
Matt Grimes
Price
£4.9
0.0 this GW
Total pts
11
2.2 per game
Form
2.3
last 30 days
Owned
0.1%
xG / xA
0.12 / 0.13
season totals
ICT
11.8
443 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW6
NEW (H)
3 xP
GW7
TOT (A)
2 xP
GW8
FUL (H)
3 xP
GW9
SUN (H)
3 xP
GW10
EVE (A)
2 xP
Grimes starts almost every week and faces a average run: NEW (H), TOT (A), FUL (H), SUN (H), EVE (A).
Last 5 matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | Bns | xG | xA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ARS (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 2 |
| 2 | HUL (H) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 2 |
| 3 | MCI (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 2 |
| 4 | BHA (H) | 83 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.02 | 2 |
| 5 | NFO (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.06 | 3 |
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from Grimes's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.08 expected goals and 0.08 expected assists per 90, 89 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 20%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 2.8 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: he is fully fit, so the raw projection is scaled by 100%.
Buy71%
Confidence71%
Buy — Grimes is one of the better MID options for the next 5 gameweeks.
- Fair value at £4.9 for the projected return.
- Favourable fixtures ahead (average difficulty 2.8).
- Nailed on: averaging 89 minutes per appearance.
Projected points
Next 1 GW3
Next 3 GWs8
Next 5 GWs12
Captain rating30/100
Captain rating combines the GW5 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
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