BRECollins
Nathan Collins
Price
£5.5
0.0 this GW
Total pts
129
3.7 per game
Form
0.0
last 30 days
Owned
2.0%
xG / xA
2.24 / 1.71
season totals
ICT
131.9
2971 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW1
TOT (H)
3 xP
GW2
LEE (A)
3 xP
GW3
SUN (H)
4 xP
GW4
BOU (A)
3 xP
GW5
CHE (H)
3 xP
Collins starts almost every week and faces a average run: TOT (H), LEE (A), SUN (H), BOU (A), CHE (H).
Last 5 matches
No match history yet this season.
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from Collins's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.07 expected goals and 0.05 expected assists per 90, 85 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 26%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.0 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: he is fully fit, so the raw projection is scaled by 100%.
Hold57%
Confidence57%
Hold — Collins is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.
- Strong value: 16 projected points over the next 5 gameweeks at £5.5.
- Cold streak: 0.0 points per game recently.
- Nailed on: averaging 85 minutes per appearance.
Projected points
Next 1 GW3
Next 3 GWs10
Next 5 GWs16
Captain rating31/100
Captain rating combines the GW1 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
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