BRECollins
Nathan Collins
Latest news: Calf injury - Unknown return date
Price
£5.4
0.0 this GW
Total pts
10
3.3 per game
Form
0.3
last 30 days
Owned
1.0%
xG / xA
0.51 / 0.05
season totals
ICT
11.4
196 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW6
AVL (A)
1 xP
GW7
LIV (H)
1 xP
GW8
HUL (A)
1 xP
GW9
NFO (H)
1 xP
GW10
BHA (A)
1 xP
Collins starts almost every week and faces a average run: AVL (A), LIV (H), HUL (A), NFO (H), BHA (A).
Last 5 matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | Bns | xG | xA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TOT (H) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.34 | 0.04 | 6 |
| 2 | LEE (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.17 | 0.01 | 3 |
| 3 | SUN (H) | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1 |
| 4 | BOU (A) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 |
| 5 | CHE (H) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 |
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from Collins's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.12 expected goals and 0.07 expected assists per 90, 65 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 33%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.2 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: status is "i", so the raw projection is scaled by 0%.
Sell94%
Confidence94%
Sell — the projection, fixtures or minutes do not support keeping Collins.
- Weak points-per-million: the projection does not justify £5.4.
- Cold streak: 0.3 points per game recently.
- Unavailable — Calf injury - Unknown return date.
Projected points
Next 1 GW1
Next 3 GWs2
Next 5 GWs3
Captain rating0/100
Captain rating combines the GW5 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
Other BRENTFORD players