NFOAina

Ola Aina

NOTT'M FOREST
DEF
£4.4· 2.4% owned
Price
£4.4
-0.1 this GW
Total pts
8
2.0 per game
Form
1.0
last 30 days
Owned
2.4%
xG / xA
0.04 / 0.53
season totals
ICT
12.7
306 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW6
CRY (A)
2 xP
GW7
ARS (H)
2 xP
GW8
IPS (A)
3 xP
GW9
BRE (A)
2 xP
GW10
MCI (H)
2 xP

Aina starts almost every week and faces a average run: CRY (A), ARS (H), IPS (A), BRE (A), MCI (H).

Last 5 matches
GWOppMinGABnsxGxAPts
1LEE (H)730000.040.175
2LIV (A)850000.000.350
3TOT (H)580000.000.001
4AVL (A)900000.000.012
5COV (H)00000.000.000
Why this projection

The model works bottom-up from Aina's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.04 expected goals and 0.11 expected assists per 90, 77 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 25%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.2 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.

Availability is factored in directly: he is fully fit, so the raw projection is scaled by 100%.

Hold57%
Confidence57%

Hold — Aina is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.

  • Strong value: 12 projected points over the next 5 gameweeks at £4.4.
  • Cold streak: 1.0 points per game recently.
  • Nailed on: averaging 77 minutes per appearance.
Projected points
Next 1 GW2
Next 3 GWs7
Next 5 GWs12
Captain rating21/100

Captain rating combines the GW5 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.