AVLBarkley

Ross Barkley

ASTON VILLA
MID
£5.0· 0.3% owned
Price
£5.0
0.0 this GW
Total pts
10
2.0 per game
Form
2.0
last 30 days
Owned
0.3%
xG / xA
0.38 / 0.14
season totals
ICT
15.6
308 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW6
BRE (H)
2 xP
GW7
NEW (A)
2 xP
GW8
MCI (H)
2 xP
GW9
FUL (H)
3 xP
GW10
MUN (A)
2 xP

Barkley usually starts and faces a average run: BRE (H), NEW (A), MCI (H), FUL (H), MUN (A).

Last 5 matches
GWOppMinGABnsxGxAPts
1BHA (A)730000.100.022
2ARS (H)770000.030.022
3HUL (A)900000.220.093
4NFO (H)620000.030.012
5TOT (A)60000.000.001
Why this projection

The model works bottom-up from Barkley's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.12 expected goals and 0.10 expected assists per 90, 62 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 20%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.2 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.

Availability is factored in directly: he is fully fit, so the raw projection is scaled by 100%.

Hold57%
Confidence57%

Hold — Barkley is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.

  • Fair value at £5.0 for the projected return.
Projected points
Next 1 GW2
Next 3 GWs6
Next 5 GWs10
Captain rating21/100

Captain rating combines the GW5 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.