Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 20 points for Isak and 8 for Welbeck, so Isak is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

Isak vs Welbeck

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours Isak by 12 projected points.

Isak

LIVERPOOL · FWD · £9.1

projected points / 5 GW

Hold57%

MCI (H)BRE (A)BHA (H)ARS (H)CRY (A)

Welbeck

CHELSEA · FWD · £5.9

projected points / 5 GW

Sell64%

BOU (H)EVE (A)TOT (H)MUN (H)SUN (A)

Stat by stat

£9.1Price£5.9

33Total points4

7.7Form1.3

6.6Points / game1.3

22.4%Owned1.0%

413Minutes85

4Goals0

0Assists0

3.54xG0.00

0.08xA0.14

40.0ICT6.1

3.4Avg FDR (5)3.0

20Projected pts8

The verdict

Isak comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (20 vs 8), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 3.4) and better current form.

Hold — Isak is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.

Sell — the projection, fixtures or minutes do not support keeping Welbeck.

More FWD comparisons

Isak vs Haaland Isak vs João Pedro Isak vs Kostoulas Isak vs Emersonn Isak vs Brobbey Isak vs Calvert-Lewin