Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 3 points for Isak and 9 for Simms, so Simms is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

Isak vs Simms

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours Simms by 6 projected points.

Isak

LIVERPOOL · FWD · £9.0

projected points / 5 GW

Sell85%

BRE (A)BHA (H)ARS (H)CRY (A)MUN (H)

Simms

COVENTRY CITY · FWD · £4.9

projected points / 5 GW

Hold64%

TOT (A)FUL (H)SUN (H)EVE (A)CRY (H)

Stat by stat

£9.0Price£4.9

33Total points10

4.0Form3.5

6.6Points / game2.5

14.4%Owned0.6%

413Minutes116

4Goals1

0Assists0

3.54xG0.40

0.08xA0.01

40.0ICT11.8

3.4Avg FDR (5)2.6

3Projected pts9

The verdict

Simms comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (9 vs 3), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 2.6) and a stronger underlying profile.

Sell — the projection, fixtures or minutes do not support keeping Isak.

Hold — Simms is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.

More FWD comparisons

Isak vs João Pedro Isak vs Haaland Isak vs Kostoulas Isak vs Emersonn Isak vs Barry Isak vs Evanilson