Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 16 points for Brobbey and 8 for Welbeck, so Brobbey is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

Brobbey vs Welbeck

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours Brobbey by 8 projected points.

Brobbey

SUNDERLAND · FWD · £5.7

projected points / 5 GW

Hold64%

BHA (H)BOU (A)LEE (H)COV (A)CHE (H)

Welbeck

CHELSEA · FWD · £5.9

projected points / 5 GW

Sell64%

BOU (H)EVE (A)TOT (H)MUN (H)SUN (A)

Stat by stat

£5.7Price£5.9

24Total points4

6.7Form1.3

4.8Points / game1.3

6.9%Owned1.0%

399Minutes85

3Goals0

0Assists0

2.94xG0.00

0.11xA0.14

31.7ICT6.1

3.0Avg FDR (5)3.0

16Projected pts8

The verdict

Brobbey comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (16 vs 8), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 3.0) and better current form.

Hold — Brobbey is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.

Sell — the projection, fixtures or minutes do not support keeping Welbeck.

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