Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 7 points for Welbeck and 6 for Abraham, so Welbeck is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

Welbeck vs Abraham

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours Welbeck by 1 projected points.

Welbeck

CHELSEA · FWD · £5.9

projected points / 5 GW

Sell78%

BOU (H)EVE (A)TOT (H)MUN (H)SUN (A)

Abraham

ASTON VILLA · FWD · £5.5

projected points / 5 GW

Sell78%

BRE (H)NEW (A)MCI (H)FUL (H)MUN (A)

Stat by stat

£5.9Price£5.5

5Total points4

1.3Form0.7

1.2Points / game1.0

0.9%Owned0.2%

92Minutes71

0Goals0

0Assists0

0.00xG0.00

0.14xA0.00

6.1ICT1.1

3.0Avg FDR (5)3.2

7Projected pts6

The verdict

Welbeck comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (7 vs 6), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 3.0) and better current form.

Sell — the projection, fixtures or minutes do not support keeping Welbeck.

Sell — the projection, fixtures or minutes do not support keeping Abraham.

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