Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 16 points for Barnes and 3 for Saka, so Barnes is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

Barnes vs Saka

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours Barnes by 13 projected points.

Barnes

NEWCASTLE · MID · £6.1

projected points / 5 GW

Buy78%

CRY (A)EVE (H)FUL (A)ARS (H)BHA (A)

Saka

ARSENAL · MID · £9.5

projected points / 5 GW

Sell94%

EVE (H)LIV (A)HUL (H)NEW (A)MCI (H)

Stat by stat

£6.1Price£9.5

40Total points37

4.0Form1.7

5.0Points / game5.3

7.4%Owned9.4%

706Minutes596

2Goals3

3Assists0

1.52xG3.63

0.89xA1.20

45.3ICT63.0

3.4Avg FDR (5)3.2

16Projected pts3

The verdict

Barnes comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (16 vs 3), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 3.4) and better current form.

Buy — Barnes is one of the better MID options for the next 5 gameweeks.

Sell — the projection, fixtures or minutes do not support keeping Saka.

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