Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 18 points for Barnes and 28 for Saka, so Saka is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

Barnes vs Saka

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours Saka by 10 projected points.

Barnes

NEWCASTLE · MID · £6.0

projected points / 5 GW

Buy85%

BOU (H)LEE (A)HUL (H)COV (A)AVL (H)

Saka

ARSENAL · MID · £9.5

projected points / 5 GW

Buy78%

CHE (H)SUN (A)BHA (A)LEE (H)NFO (A)

Stat by stat

£6.0Price£9.5

17Total points20

5.7Form6.7

5.7Points / game10.0

1.2%Owned11.0%

270Minutes157

1Goals2

1Assists0

0.23xG1.27

0.06xA0.12

5.3ICT19.5

2.6Avg FDR (5)3.0

18Projected pts28

The verdict

Saka comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (28 vs 18), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 3.0) and better current form.

Buy — Barnes is one of the better MID options for the next 5 gameweeks.

Buy — Saka is one of the better MID options for the next 5 gameweeks.

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