Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 3 points for Igor Jesus and 8 for Simms, so Simms is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

Igor Jesus vs Simms

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours Simms by 6 projected points.

Igor Jesus

NOTT'M FOREST · FWD · £5.8

projected points / 5 GW

Sell94%

CRY (A)ARS (H)IPS (A)BRE (A)MCI (H)

Simms

COVENTRY CITY · FWD · £4.9

projected points / 5 GW

Hold57%

NEW (H)TOT (A)FUL (H)SUN (H)EVE (A)

Stat by stat

£5.8Price£4.9

12Total points10

0.5Form2.3

2.4Points / game2.5

1.9%Owned0.6%

257Minutes116

1Goals1

0Assists0

1.25xG0.38

0.08xA0.01

19.6ICT6.8

3.2Avg FDR (5)2.8

3Projected pts8

The verdict

Simms comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (8 vs 3), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 2.8) and better current form.

Sell — the projection, fixtures or minutes do not support keeping Igor Jesus.

Hold — Simms is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.

More FWD comparisons

Igor Jesus vs João Pedro Igor Jesus vs Haaland Igor Jesus vs Isak Igor Jesus vs Kostoulas Igor Jesus vs Emersonn Igor Jesus vs Barry