Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 4 points for Lerma and 29 for Saka, so Saka is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

Lerma vs Saka

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours Saka by 25 projected points.

Lerma

CRYSTAL PALACE · MID · £4.8

projected points / 5 GW

Sell78%

NFO (H)BHA (A)NEW (H)TOT (A)LIV (H)

Saka

ARSENAL · MID · £9.5

projected points / 5 GW

Buy78%

LEE (H)NFO (A)EVE (H)LIV (A)HUL (H)

Stat by stat

£4.8Price£9.5

1Total points32

0.3Form5.8

0.5Points / game6.4

0.1%Owned13.7%

51Minutes416

0Goals3

0Assists0

0.26xG3.22

0.00xA0.98

3.0ICT52.1

3.4Avg FDR (5)3.0

4Projected pts29

The verdict

Saka comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (29 vs 4), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 3.0) and better current form.

Sell — the projection, fixtures or minutes do not support keeping Lerma.

Buy — Saka is one of the better MID options for the next 5 gameweeks.

More MID comparisons

Lerma vs Groß Lerma vs Schade Lerma vs Cherki Lerma vs Semenyo Lerma vs Gakpo Lerma vs Tavernier