Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 15 points for Ajer and 16 for Murillo, so Murillo is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

Ajer vs Murillo

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours Murillo by 1 projected points.

Ajer

BRENTFORD · DEF · £4.5

projected points / 5 GW

Buy78%

AVL (A)LIV (H)HUL (A)NFO (H)BHA (A)

Murillo

NOTT'M FOREST · DEF · £5.5

projected points / 5 GW

Buy71%

CRY (A)ARS (H)IPS (A)BRE (A)MCI (H)

Stat by stat

£4.5Price£5.5

27Total points23

4.7Form3.3

4.5Points / game4.6

3.7%Owned2.2%

540Minutes449

1Goals0

0Assists1

0.38xG0.42

0.08xA0.37

18.8ICT21.4

3.2Avg FDR (5)3.2

15Projected pts16

The verdict

Murillo comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (16 vs 15), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 3.2) and a stronger underlying profile.

Buy — Ajer is one of the better DEF options for the next 5 gameweeks.

Buy — Murillo is one of the better DEF options for the next 5 gameweeks.

More DEF comparisons

Ajer vs De Cuyper Ajer vs Tarkowski Ajer vs Bogle Ajer vs Vuskovic Ajer vs Calafiori Ajer vs Gvardiol