Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 21 points for Rogers and 29 for Saka, so Saka is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

Rogers vs Saka

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours Saka by 8 projected points.

Rogers

CHELSEA · MID · £7.7

projected points / 5 GW

Buy78%

BOU (H)EVE (A)TOT (H)MUN (H)SUN (A)

Saka

ARSENAL · MID · £9.5

projected points / 5 GW

Buy78%

LEE (H)NFO (A)EVE (H)LIV (A)HUL (H)

Stat by stat

£7.7Price£9.5

29Total points32

5.3Form5.8

5.8Points / game6.4

40.5%Owned13.7%

437Minutes416

3Goals3

1Assists0

1.72xG3.22

1.23xA0.98

43.9ICT52.1

3.0Avg FDR (5)3.0

21Projected pts29

The verdict

Saka comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (29 vs 21), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 3.0) and better current form.

Buy — Rogers is one of the better MID options for the next 5 gameweeks.

Buy — Saka is one of the better MID options for the next 5 gameweeks.

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