Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 17 points for Murillo and 15 for Ajer, so Murillo is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

Murillo vs Ajer

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours Murillo by 2 projected points.

Murillo

NOTT'M FOREST · DEF · £5.5

projected points / 5 GW

Buy85%

CRY (A)ARS (H)IPS (A)BRE (A)MCI (H)

Ajer

BRENTFORD · DEF · £4.5

projected points / 5 GW

Buy71%

AVL (A)LIV (H)HUL (A)NFO (H)BHA (A)

Stat by stat

£5.5Price£4.5

23Total points21

6.0Form3.3

4.6Points / game4.2

2.1%Owned3.9%

449Minutes450

0Goals0

1Assists0

0.42xG0.13

0.37xA0.08

21.4ICT18.8

3.2Avg FDR (5)3.2

17Projected pts15

The verdict

Murillo comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (17 vs 15), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 3.2) and better current form.

Buy — Murillo is one of the better DEF options for the next 5 gameweeks.

Buy — Ajer is one of the better DEF options for the next 5 gameweeks.

More DEF comparisons

Murillo vs Tarkowski Murillo vs Bogle Murillo vs De Cuyper Murillo vs Gvardiol Murillo vs Vuskovic Murillo vs Hall