Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 3 points for Watkins and 15 for Havertz, so Havertz is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

Watkins vs Havertz

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours Havertz by 13 projected points.

Watkins

ASTON VILLA · FWD · £7.8

projected points / 5 GW

Sell92%

BRE (H)NEW (A)MCI (H)FUL (H)MUN (A)

Havertz

ARSENAL · FWD · £7.6

projected points / 5 GW

Hold57%

LEE (H)NFO (A)EVE (H)LIV (A)HUL (H)

Stat by stat

£7.8Price£7.6

0Total points19

0.0Form3.2

0.0Points / game3.8

2.5%Owned8.3%

0Minutes437

0Goals2

0Assists0

0.00xG1.67

0.00xA0.37

0.0ICT32.6

3.2Avg FDR (5)3.0

3Projected pts15

The verdict

Havertz comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (15 vs 3), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 3.0) and better current form.

Sell — the projection, fixtures or minutes do not support keeping Watkins.

Hold — Havertz is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.

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Watkins vs Haaland Watkins vs João Pedro Watkins vs Isak Watkins vs Kostoulas Watkins vs Emersonn Watkins vs Brobbey