AVLWatkins
Ollie Watkins
Price
£8.0
0.0 this GW
Total pts
167
4.5 per game
Form
0.0
last 30 days
Owned
12.2%
xG / xA
15.40 / 1.18
season totals
ICT
225.2
2833 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW1
BHA (A)
3 xP
GW2
ARS (H)
3 xP
GW3
HUL (A)
4 xP
GW4
NFO (H)
4 xP
GW5
TOT (A)
3 xP
Watkins starts almost every week and faces a average run: BHA (A), ARS (H), HUL (A), NFO (H), TOT (A).
Last 5 matches
No match history yet this season.
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from Watkins's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.49 expected goals and 0.04 expected assists per 90, 77 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 24%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.0 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: he is fully fit, so the raw projection is scaled by 100%.
Hold50%
Confidence50%
Hold — Watkins is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.
- Fair value at £8.0 for the projected return.
- Cold streak: 0.0 points per game recently.
- Nailed on: averaging 77 minutes per appearance.
Projected points
Next 1 GW3
Next 3 GWs10
Next 5 GWs17
Captain rating40/100
Captain rating combines the GW1 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
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