Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 13 points for Araujo and 15 for Ajer, so Ajer is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

Araujo vs Ajer

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours Ajer by 2 projected points.

Araujo

LIVERPOOL · DEF · £5.4

projected points / 5 GW

Buy71%

MCI (H)BRE (A)BHA (H)ARS (H)CRY (A)

Ajer

BRENTFORD · DEF · £4.5

projected points / 5 GW

Buy71%

AVL (A)LIV (H)HUL (A)NFO (H)BHA (A)

Stat by stat

£5.4Price£4.5

22Total points21

7.0Form3.3

4.4Points / game4.2

3.0%Owned3.9%

284Minutes450

0Goals0

0Assists0

0.00xG0.13

0.06xA0.08

7.7ICT18.8

3.4Avg FDR (5)3.2

13Projected pts15

The verdict

Ajer comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (15 vs 13), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 3.2) and a stronger underlying profile.

Buy — Araujo is one of the better DEF options for the next 5 gameweeks.

Buy — Ajer is one of the better DEF options for the next 5 gameweeks.

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