NEWBurn
Dan Burn
Price
£5.0
0.0 this GW
Total pts
93
3.2 per game
Form
0.0
last 30 days
Owned
2.7%
xG / xA
1.08 / 0.36
season totals
ICT
82.1
2195 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW1
LIV (H)
3 xP
GW2
TOT (A)
3 xP
GW3
BOU (H)
3 xP
GW4
LEE (A)
3 xP
GW5
HUL (H)
3 xP
Burn starts almost every week and faces a average run: LIV (H), TOT (A), BOU (H), LEE (A), HUL (H).
Last 5 matches
No match history yet this season.
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from Burn's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.04 expected goals and 0.01 expected assists per 90, 76 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 21%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.0 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: he is fully fit, so the raw projection is scaled by 100%.
Hold57%
Confidence57%
Hold — Burn is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.
- Strong value: 14 projected points over the next 5 gameweeks at £5.0.
- Cold streak: 0.0 points per game recently.
- Nailed on: averaging 76 minutes per appearance.
Projected points
Next 1 GW3
Next 3 GWs8
Next 5 GWs14
Captain rating23/100
Captain rating combines the GW1 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
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