SUNBallard
Daniel Ballard
Latest news: Hamstring injury - 75% chance of playing
Price
£4.9
0.0 this GW
Total pts
14
2.8 per game
Form
2.0
last 30 days
Owned
2.5%
xG / xA
0.31 / 0.16
season totals
ICT
16.3
450 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW6
BHA (H)
2 xP
GW7
BOU (A)
2 xP
GW8
LEE (H)
2 xP
GW9
COV (A)
2 xP
GW10
CHE (H)
2 xP
Ballard starts almost every week and faces a average run: BHA (H), BOU (A), LEE (H), COV (A), CHE (H).
Last 5 matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | Bns | xG | xA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IPS (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 |
| 2 | FUL (H) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 8 |
| 3 | BRE (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.14 | 4 |
| 4 | ARS (H) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.01 | 0 |
| 5 | MCI (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 2 |
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from Ballard's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.06 expected goals and 0.06 expected assists per 90, 90 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 20%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.0 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: status is "d", so the raw projection is scaled by 75%.
Hold57%
Confidence57%
Hold — Ballard is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.
- Fair value at £4.9 for the projected return.
- Injury doubt: 75% chance of playing.
Projected points
Next 1 GW2
Next 3 GWs6
Next 5 GWs10
Captain rating15/100
Captain rating combines the GW5 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
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