NEWJ.Murphy
Jacob Murphy
Price
£5.9
0.0 this GW
Total pts
3
0.6 per game
Form
0.7
last 30 days
Owned
0.1%
xG / xA
0.03 / 0.41
season totals
ICT
4.9
181 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW6
COV (A)
1 xP
GW7
AVL (H)
1 xP
GW8
CRY (A)
1 xP
GW9
EVE (H)
1 xP
GW10
FUL (A)
1 xP
J.Murphy is a rotation risk and faces a average run: COV (A), AVL (H), CRY (A), EVE (H), FUL (A).
Last 5 matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | Bns | xG | xA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LIV (H) | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 |
| 2 | TOT (A) | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 1 |
| 3 | BOU (H) | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1 |
| 4 | LEE (A) | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 0 |
| 5 | HUL (H) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.07 | 1 |
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from J.Murphy's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.12 expected goals and 0.17 expected assists per 90, 36 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 0%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 2.8 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: he is fully fit, so the raw projection is scaled by 100%.
Sell71%
Confidence71%
Sell — the projection, fixtures or minutes do not support keeping J.Murphy.
- Weak points-per-million: the projection does not justify £5.9.
- Favourable fixtures ahead (average difficulty 2.8).
- Cold streak: 0.7 points per game recently.
Projected points
Next 1 GW1
Next 3 GWs3
Next 5 GWs5
Captain rating5/100
Captain rating combines the GW5 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
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