NEWL.Miley
Lewis Miley
Price
£5.5
0.0 this GW
Total pts
12
2.4 per game
Form
2.0
last 30 days
Owned
0.1%
xG / xA
0.05 / 0.14
season totals
ICT
12.0
396 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW6
COV (A)
2 xP
GW7
AVL (H)
2 xP
GW8
CRY (A)
2 xP
GW9
EVE (H)
2 xP
GW10
FUL (A)
2 xP
L.Miley starts almost every week and faces a average run: COV (A), AVL (H), CRY (A), EVE (H), FUL (A).
Last 5 matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | Bns | xG | xA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LIV (H) | 75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.01 | 3 |
| 2 | TOT (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 3 |
| 3 | BOU (H) | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 2 |
| 4 | LEE (A) | 79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0 |
| 5 | HUL (H) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 4 |
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from L.Miley's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.08 expected goals and 0.09 expected assists per 90, 79 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 20%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 2.8 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: he is fully fit, so the raw projection is scaled by 100%.
Buy71%
Confidence71%
Buy — L.Miley is one of the better MID options for the next 5 gameweeks.
- Fair value at £5.5 for the projected return.
- Favourable fixtures ahead (average difficulty 2.8).
- Nailed on: averaging 79 minutes per appearance.
Projected points
Next 1 GW2
Next 3 GWs7
Next 5 GWs11
Captain rating29/100
Captain rating combines the GW5 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
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