SUNEllborg
Melker Ellborg
Price
£4.5
0.0 this GW
Total pts
16
5.3 per game
Form
0.0
last 30 days
Owned
0.1%
xG / xA
0.00 / 0.02
season totals
ICT
7.4
270 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW1
IPS (A)
4 xP
GW2
FUL (H)
4 xP
GW3
BRE (A)
3 xP
GW4
ARS (H)
3 xP
GW5
MCI (A)
2 xP
Ellborg starts almost every week and faces a average run: IPS (A), FUL (H), BRE (A), ARS (H), MCI (A).
Last 5 matches
No match history yet this season.
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from Ellborg's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.00 expected goals and 0.01 expected assists per 90, 90 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 33%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.2 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: he is fully fit, so the raw projection is scaled by 100%.
Hold57%
Confidence57%
Hold — Ellborg is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.
- Strong value: 16 projected points over the next 5 gameweeks at £4.5.
- Cold streak: 0.0 points per game recently.
- Nailed on: averaging 90 minutes per appearance.
Projected points
Next 1 GW4
Next 3 GWs11
Next 5 GWs16
Captain rating34/100
Captain rating combines the GW1 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
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