Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 8 points for Welbeck and 16 for Brobbey, so Brobbey is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

Welbeck vs Brobbey

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours Brobbey by 8 projected points.

Welbeck

CHELSEA · FWD · £5.9

projected points / 5 GW

Sell64%

BOU (H)EVE (A)TOT (H)MUN (H)SUN (A)

Brobbey

SUNDERLAND · FWD · £5.7

projected points / 5 GW

Hold64%

BHA (H)BOU (A)LEE (H)COV (A)CHE (H)

Stat by stat

£5.9Price£5.7

4Total points24

1.3Form6.7

1.3Points / game4.8

1.0%Owned6.9%

85Minutes399

0Goals3

0Assists0

0.00xG2.94

0.14xA0.11

6.1ICT31.7

3.0Avg FDR (5)3.0

8Projected pts16

The verdict

Brobbey comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (16 vs 8), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 3.0) and better current form.

Sell — the projection, fixtures or minutes do not support keeping Welbeck.

Hold — Brobbey is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.

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