Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 6 points for Carvalho and 29 for Saka, so Saka is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

Carvalho vs Saka

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours Saka by 23 projected points.

Carvalho

BRENTFORD · MID · £5.0

projected points / 5 GW

Sell64%

AVL (A)LIV (H)HUL (A)NFO (H)BHA (A)

Saka

ARSENAL · MID · £9.5

projected points / 5 GW

Buy78%

LEE (H)NFO (A)EVE (H)LIV (A)HUL (H)

Stat by stat

£5.0Price£9.5

6Total points32

2.0Form5.8

6.0Points / game6.4

0.0%Owned13.7%

3Minutes416

1Goals3

0Assists0

0.43xG3.22

0.00xA0.98

6.7ICT52.1

3.2Avg FDR (5)3.0

6Projected pts29

The verdict

Saka comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (29 vs 6), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 3.0) and better current form.

Sell — the projection, fixtures or minutes do not support keeping Carvalho.

Buy — Saka is one of the better MID options for the next 5 gameweeks.

More MID comparisons

Carvalho vs Groß Carvalho vs Schade Carvalho vs Cherki Carvalho vs Semenyo Carvalho vs Gakpo Carvalho vs Tavernier