CHEHato

Jorrel Hato

CHELSEA
DEF
£4.5· 0.8% owned
Price
£4.5
0.0 this GW
Total pts
8
2.0 per game
Form
1.0
last 30 days
Owned
0.8%
xG / xA
0.01 / 0.21
season totals
ICT
14.0
258 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW6
BOU (H)
3 xP
GW7
EVE (A)
2 xP
GW8
TOT (H)
3 xP
GW9
MUN (H)
2 xP
GW10
SUN (A)
2 xP

Hato starts almost every week and faces a average run: BOU (H), EVE (A), TOT (H), MUN (H), SUN (A).

Last 5 matches
GWOppMinGABnsxGxAPts
1FUL (A)640000.010.031
2BHA (H)900100.000.064
3ARS (A)590100.000.023
4HUL (H)450000.000.100
5BRE (A)00000.000.000
Why this projection

The model works bottom-up from Hato's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.04 expected goals and 0.08 expected assists per 90, 65 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 0%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.0 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.

Availability is factored in directly: he is fully fit, so the raw projection is scaled by 100%.

Hold57%
Confidence57%

Hold — Hato is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.

  • Strong value: 13 projected points over the next 5 gameweeks at £4.5.
  • Cold streak: 1.0 points per game recently.
  • Nailed on: averaging 65 minutes per appearance.
Projected points
Next 1 GW3
Next 3 GWs8
Next 5 GWs13
Captain rating22/100

Captain rating combines the GW5 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.