CHEColwill
Levi Samuels Colwill
Price
£4.8
-0.1 this GW
Total pts
3
0.8 per game
Form
0.7
last 30 days
Owned
0.9%
xG / xA
0.01 / 0.05
season totals
ICT
9.2
341 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW6
BOU (H)
2 xP
GW7
EVE (A)
2 xP
GW8
TOT (H)
3 xP
GW9
MUN (H)
2 xP
GW10
SUN (A)
2 xP
Colwill starts almost every week and faces a average run: BOU (H), EVE (A), TOT (H), MUN (H), SUN (A).
Last 5 matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | Bns | xG | xA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FUL (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0 |
| 2 | BHA (H) | 71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1 |
| 3 | ARS (A) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 |
| 4 | HUL (H) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1 |
| 5 | BRE (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1 |
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from Colwill's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.04 expected goals and 0.05 expected assists per 90, 85 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 0%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.0 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: he is fully fit, so the raw projection is scaled by 100%.
Hold50%
Confidence50%
Hold — Colwill is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.
- Fair value at £4.8 for the projected return.
- Cold streak: 0.7 points per game recently.
- Nailed on: averaging 85 minutes per appearance.
Projected points
Next 1 GW2
Next 3 GWs7
Next 5 GWs11
Captain rating22/100
Captain rating combines the GW5 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
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