CHECaicedo
Moisés Caicedo Corozo
Latest news: Calf injury - 50% chance of playing
Price
£5.3
0.0 this GW
Total pts
1
1.0 per game
Form
0.0
last 30 days
Owned
1.0%
xG / xA
0.00 / 0.00
season totals
ICT
0.0
13 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW6
BOU (H)
1 xP
GW7
EVE (A)
1 xP
GW8
TOT (H)
1 xP
GW9
MUN (H)
1 xP
GW10
SUN (A)
1 xP
Caicedo is a rotation risk and faces a average run: BOU (H), EVE (A), TOT (H), MUN (H), SUN (A).
Last 5 matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | Bns | xG | xA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FUL (A) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 |
| 2 | BHA (H) | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1 |
| 3 | ARS (A) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 |
| 4 | HUL (H) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 |
| 5 | BRE (A) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 |
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from Caicedo's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.14 expected goals and 0.14 expected assists per 90, 13 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 0%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.0 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: status is "d", so the raw projection is scaled by 50%.
Sell92%
Confidence92%
Sell — the projection, fixtures or minutes do not support keeping Caicedo.
- Weak points-per-million: the projection does not justify £5.3.
- Cold streak: 0.0 points per game recently.
- Injury doubt: 50% chance of playing.
Projected points
Next 1 GW1
Next 3 GWs2
Next 5 GWs3
Captain rating1/100
Captain rating combines the GW5 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
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